I think this is a difficult one. And probably the answers will be forgotten anyway. And noone is going to factcheck them.
I think my prediction is about Germany. The country I live in. It is easier to get a grasp of the atmosphere in a country when you actually live in it.
The German government won't hold until the end of the legislature. The Christian conservative party will break down the "Brandmauer"/"Fire wall" and aim to build a coalition with the far-right AfD. But not under Merz. Maybe under an ambitious guy called Jens Spahn. This will tear the country apart and fuel the Polarization. We will experience similar things of what is currently happening in the US. The conservatives cannibalize themselves with this strategy. The political situation might become similar to the current state of Austria and after a longer time period maybe Hungary. There won't be a fascistic government. But the country will become more and more illiberal. Courts will be the biggest Opposition to this trend. There will be many citizen Initiatives to ban the AfD of participating at elections/banning the party. The whole process of this Initiative will take a couple of years. I am not sure how it would end. I tend to think the AfD won't banned because such an act would be considered anti-democratic to ban the most popular party. There will be an agenda 2029 in Germany. The alleged goal will be reducing bureaucracy but actually the aims of the policies will be to target minorities. Remigration is a coined term that already spread to the US. This will become the New normal. The funding of public broadcast will be cut. Education about Germany's history, commemoration of the holocaust, and in general education about politics will be highly contested and polarized. The goal post will shift more and more to the right. The overton window will shift more and more right-wing. Germany's debts will skyrocket, the credibility of our credit Ratings will decrease. The poorest people and minorities will suffer the most. The government will Play divide and conquer and scapegoat migrants and unemployed people. Germany won't become militaristic in this scenario though. The government will be Russia friendly and accept Russia's Hegemony in Europe. The EU might be dissolved and the Euro will be abolished. Germany won't attack other countries though. The people in power will posture themselves as doves and primarily target "the enemy within". We will have a charismatic leader that postures as strong man. Many people will be nostalgic of a time without this German guilt.
How would All of this would end? I think it will take a lot of time for most people to realize what is actually going on. Most people will consume their news on social media and buy into the narratives of the New government. People might wake up when its already to late. It won't be the fourth Reich. But it will get a very difficult time for the most vulnerable groups in our Society. People will have to experience a lot of pain and hardship until they realize the advantages of an actual liberal democracy.
I hope this is specific enough so that noone else has it on their bingo card.
I think my prediction is about Germany. The country I live in. It is easier to get a grasp of the atmosphere in a country when you actually live in it.
The German government won't hold until the end of the legislature. The Christian conservative party will break down the "Brandmauer"/"Fire wall" and aim to build a coalition with the far-right AfD. But not under Merz. Maybe under an ambitious guy called Jens Spahn. This will tear the country apart and fuel the Polarization. We will experience similar things of what is currently happening in the US. The conservatives cannibalize themselves with this strategy. The political situation might become similar to the current state of Austria and after a longer time period maybe Hungary. There won't be a fascistic government. But the country will become more and more illiberal. Courts will be the biggest Opposition to this trend. There will be many citizen Initiatives to ban the AfD of participating at elections/banning the party. The whole process of this Initiative will take a couple of years. I am not sure how it would end. I tend to think the AfD won't banned because such an act would be considered anti-democratic to ban the most popular party. There will be an agenda 2029 in Germany. The alleged goal will be reducing bureaucracy but actually the aims of the policies will be to target minorities. Remigration is a coined term that already spread to the US. This will become the New normal. The funding of public broadcast will be cut. Education about Germany's history, commemoration of the holocaust, and in general education about politics will be highly contested and polarized. The goal post will shift more and more to the right. The overton window will shift more and more right-wing. Germany's debts will skyrocket, the credibility of our credit Ratings will decrease. The poorest people and minorities will suffer the most. The government will Play divide and conquer and scapegoat migrants and unemployed people. Germany won't become militaristic in this scenario though. The government will be Russia friendly and accept Russia's Hegemony in Europe. The EU might be dissolved and the Euro will be abolished. Germany won't attack other countries though. The people in power will posture themselves as doves and primarily target "the enemy within". We will have a charismatic leader that postures as strong man. Many people will be nostalgic of a time without this German guilt.
How would All of this would end? I think it will take a lot of time for most people to realize what is actually going on. Most people will consume their news on social media and buy into the narratives of the New government. People might wake up when its already to late. It won't be the fourth Reich. But it will get a very difficult time for the most vulnerable groups in our Society. People will have to experience a lot of pain and hardship until they realize the advantages of an actual liberal democracy.
I hope this is specific enough so that noone else has it on their bingo card.
